Blog
Everybody wants Bitcoin!
The race for a US physical Bitcoin ETF is on now that BlackRock has filed with the SEC. Yet, the SEC’s main objection to approval, the risk of price manipulation, likely still stands. In any case, Bitcoin is not dead, and a comparison with gold to determine its potential value remains valid.
A word on US Inflation, the Fed’s next move, and the current melt-up
The US inflation report showed a decline in inflation, which allows the Federal Reserve to skip the next rate hike. Yet, a pause is not a pivot!
Before you call Artificial Intelligence a bubble, understand that bubbles are rare!
Exercise caution when calling something a market bubble. Bubbles are less frequent than commonly believed, and booms often persist longer than expected.
Global macro data is tilting the wrong way
The latest round of data shows Macro Momentum is fading, something that equity markets and other risky assets are not pricing currently.
Money supply-driven excess liquidity unveils 20% S&P 500 downside blog
Money Supply is shrinking, taking liquidity out of the stock market, but valuation does not reflect this at all.
When Inflation Peaks, favor Nominal over Real Assets: The Multi-Asset Evidence
mpirical data since 1970 reveals that US Equities and Treasuries perform well after a peak in inflation, while Commodities and Gold lag.
The Monthly Investor Guide – April 2023 Everything Good is Priced In
Our Monthly Investor Guide is your comprehensive investment framework to boost your investment knowledge and performance!
An update on Credit Suisse and the outlook for Monetary Policy
After borrowing at the Swiss National Bank, Credit Suisse is not off the hook just yet, but enough for the ECB to raise rates.
Housing Market Forecast: A 15% Drop in Prices
US House prices have only just begun to fall. The real pain is still ahead.
S&P 500 Index Flirts with 200-Day Moving Average – Why it matters
This blog provides you with the numbers showing why the 200-day moving average is a powerful component of the Macro-Sentiment-Valuation framework.
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